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Monday, February 8, 2010

5000* SUPER BOWL TOTAL OF MY LIFE - COLTS/SAINTS UNDER 57

5000* SUPER BOWL TOTAL OF MY LIFE - COLTS/SAINTS UNDER 57

I am backing the Colts/Saints to Finish UNDER the posted total of 56.5 Points in Super Bowl 44. This is a classic Super Bowl match up of two powerhouse offenses that love to throw the ball. Everyone is bracing for a shootout and with as much "Amateur" Money that is pouring in on the OVER, I feel that we are getting Great Line Value on the UNDER play. As of Tuesday afternoon 77% of Total Action is being Bet on this game to play out Over the total. In all honesty, lines makers could have made this total 61 points and still got 77% of the action on the OVER, but that would make it to easy for Sharps like me to make a Kings Fortune on the UNDER in this game.

This is the Super Bowl ladies and gentleman, the Biggest Single Game in all of Sports. It's only human nature for players to feel a little nervous, even experienced veterans like Peyton Manning and Reggie Wayne, who have been there before, will be a little gun shy at first. I fully expect both teams to start this game like a boxing match, feeling out what their opponent is trying to do. I don't expect either team to come right out like this is a regular season game and just sling the ball up and down the field, although your friend who is a big football fan will tell you that's how this game will start. We call friend like that Suckers & Squares! In fact, after 2 weeks of preparation and massive media hype, combined with the human bodies nervous system, I see both teams getting off to a slow start in this game. It will then become an even more difficult task to get this game OVER the total after a slow start. The Odds Makers Agree with me on this theory as the 1st Quarter Total Stands at a mere 10.5 points. I can't imagine how many college kids will "Lose their Shirt" thinking this will be a shootout from the opening kickoff.

The Colts and the Saints know they have capable offenses. The team that will hoist the Vince Lombardi Trophy when it's all said and done will be the team that plays better defense on this given Sunday! I am quite sure, that Defense is Priority #1 on both Jim Caldwell and Sean Peyton's clipboard. With 2 weeks of practice I fully expect both teams to be ready to contain the others offensive firepower! The Saints first 2 playoff games both played over the total, but not as easy as first thought. The Saints defense has stepped up coming out of the locker room for the second half during this postseason run. In fact New Orleans has allowed just 14 total points in the 2nd half of their 2 playoff games, shutting down Arizona to Zero 2nd half points and allowing 14 points to the Vikings 2 weeks ago. The Saints defense should be recognized for this Defensive feat, due to the fact they shut down 2 experienced Hall of Fame QB's in perfect playing conditions in the Playoffs. Let's also pass on some credit to the Colts defense who has not allowed a 2nd half point in the playoffs so far. In fact the Colts defense has hung up 6 scoreless quarters in 8 playoff quarters of football during this postseason run. My point is that both of these defenses are capable of stopping or slowing the other teams offense. If we get one scoreless quarter, one key turnover or a few Red Zone Field Goals we will cash this total Easy!!

This is the Highest Total in Super Bowl History, surpassing the 2007 Giants/Patriots total that was 55 points, the final score of that game was 17-14. In fact the 4 of the last 5 Super Bowl have finished UNDER the total with only Last Years Arizona/Pittsburgh game going over the total on a late 4th Quarter Touchdown Catch. In fact in 43 previous Super Bowl's with the total of 50+ points the UNDER is just 4-3. However, of the 3 Super Bowls that finished OVER the total only one was a "Clear Cut" Over and that was Super Bowl XXIX where the 49ers beat the Chargers 49-26 with the posted Total at 53.5. Super Bowl XXXIII Denver 34 Atlanta 19 - 53 Total Points Scored with the Closing Line of 52.5 & Super Bowl XIX 49ers 38 Miami 16 - 54 Total points Scored with the Closing Line of 53.5 points. Depending where you play, the UNDER Could very well be 6-1 in All Super Bowls with Totals of 50+ Points.

In this decade we have had our share of high powered offense make it to the Super Bowl. Last year Kurt Warner and Larry Fitzgerald had the best QB/WR Combo
in postseason history but only scored 23 points in in the Super Bowl. In 2008 Tom Brady and Randy Moss Re-Wrote the Record Books but only scored 14 points in their Super Bowl. Even the Rams of the late '90's and Early this decade only scored 40 combined points in their 2 Super Bowl appearances and were tagged "The Greatest Show on Turf". We come full circle to the best phrase I ever heard about this sport, "Offense Brings Crowds & Defense Wins Championships!

This selection will never be in doubt & this is the strongest selection I have every released or played in my entire life! This line is completely inflamed & will finish well UNDER the posted total! Make this the Biggest Play of Your Life on the Biggest Game of the Year! 5000* SUPER BOWL TOTAL OF MY CAREER - COLTS/SAINTS UNDER 57